TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers50c80,350$40,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,156.1860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings51c53,999$27,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,539.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Clippers49c48,362$23,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,664.8419754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Kings54c45,244$24,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,305.8236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Kings49c42,624$20,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,885.712250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers49c33,350$16,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,098.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Kings51c28,340$14,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,369.5313642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Kings51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.9215952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Clippers50c19,741$9,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.014847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66a…800ebacked Kings52c19,424$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,100.48955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings46c15,654$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings50c15,507$7,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,753.3348343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Clippers61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,849.8812945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers46c14,391$6,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,771.751,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings52c11,948$6,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,213.041,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Kings49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Clippers51c9,587$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,734.735561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Clippers47c9,500$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,03517055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers50c9,167$4,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,583.61,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Clippers48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings21c5,604$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Kings51c4,758$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.510553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings48c4,483$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.611,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d39…c732backed Clippers48c3,844$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Kings39c3,814$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.531,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Kings40c3,365$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.184264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Clippers60c3,305$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.9515644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings50c2,631$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fd…b5afbacked Clippers48c2,616$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Clippers70c2,258$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.3643269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Kings49c2,112$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.851428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Clippers49c2,110$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.0527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Clippers48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Clippers51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.547365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings51c1,791$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers49c1,782$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.221,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Kings32c1,658$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.921936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Clippers49c1,509$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.841,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers46c1,227$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Clippers48c1,211$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Clippers48c1,178$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.5917349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Clippers48c1,041$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1124151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Clippers55c1,002$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.7134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Clippers51c978.73$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.5814634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Clippers50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Clippers52c895.96$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5119550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers47c856.62$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Kings39c803.72$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.616639.4%26 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Clippers76c778.73$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0217051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Clippers51c776.48$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4825155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers51c762.29$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Clippers52c723.86$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2814852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Kings52c705.76$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3673627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Kings52c562.95$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3118748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers51c528.18$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Clippers52c522.71$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.585448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Kings57c512.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2652760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Kings39c495.63$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.669044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Clippers48c484.4$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.893138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Kings53c426.8$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.347052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kings38c425.09$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.12,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers51c424.82$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings38c421.02$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Clippers50c397.84$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.951451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Kings49c394.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8936143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings49c390.65$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Clippers51c375.64$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Clippers52c345.03$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.615040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Clippers48c316.8$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.731,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…cf73backed Kings51c314.78$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.541127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Clippers51c306.78$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2531354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Kings44c299.86$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.946339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Clippers48c292.36$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Kings50c288.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.011,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers48c274.73$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.751,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Clippers51c260.87$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0420443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Clippers52c249.31$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4811346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Kings14c220$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Clippers53c216.31$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0222953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Clippers51c212.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9630654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Clippers56c210.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6647852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Clippers50c203.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8525550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Kings49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Clippers49c199.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9822850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Kings51c199.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9136248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf21…2ed8backed Clippers49c191.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.871656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Clippers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.259150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Kings51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0616450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Kings52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.123141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Clippers53c175.27$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0438853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Kings46c169.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.717164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9950…d55fbacked Clippers50c166.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.123754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Kings39c160.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Clippers51c155.05$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2617852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Clippers50c146.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8123655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Clippers51c142.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9418839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings36c138.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.933,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Kings53c137.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8933251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Clippers51c132.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6517057.1%97 W · 73 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Kings13c124.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4827553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.