TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings44c19,230$8,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,461.254,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kings29c10,574$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.521,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings43c7,123$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers56c6,606$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Clippers56c4,915$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.648953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Clippers56c4,913$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.5321350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Clippers56c3,962$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.2212646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers71c3,481$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.433,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Kings45c3,033$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.0712850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings30c2,730$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.562,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Kings44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Clippers54c1,971$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.6712251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3c…e646backed Clippers57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.031566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce7…e812backed Kings37c1,742$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.852360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Clippers59c1,665$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.8857444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Clippers74c1,597$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4843269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers56c1,421$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers53c1,421$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers75c1,363$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Clippers52c1,276$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.4740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers62c1,184$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Clippers63c1,034$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Clippers63c1,019$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.624667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers62c848.38$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.481,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Clippers56c827.56$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1320856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Clippers66c813.93$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Clippers51c805.03$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.463956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers65c798.79$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.191,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Clippers66c792.59$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9342352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers56c695.59$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Clippers51c681.47$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Kings47c672.9$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2616845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers56c667.66$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.712,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kings46c620.37$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Kings45c608.24$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Clippers66c605.21$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff5…7bd9backed Clippers75c604.04$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings44c602.58$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Clippers54c599.8$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Clippers71c543.35$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Clippers55c538.87$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6829849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Clippers78c503.97$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7527745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Clippers71c501.52$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4436949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings46c466.12$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.422,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Clippers54c462.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Kings45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.452760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Kings47c421.17$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers56c414.46$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.362,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Kings48c409.4$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5110943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Clippers53c396.06$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Clippers52c388.48$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Kings49c359.96$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3843352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Kings47c337.81$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7716249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Kings46c336.72$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.895540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Clippers58c335$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3514959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Clippers56c304.32$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6836…83f7backed Kings30c299$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings44c289.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Kings48c282.69$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6913352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Kings44c274.08$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.610252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Clippers53c262.37$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.311,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Clippers55c254.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers57c251.34$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Kings48c250.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4410750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Clippers54c249.24$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3632450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Clippers54c249.24$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3612752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Kings46c242.62$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Kings46c228.6$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.916450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers57c217.36$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings47c210.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Kings42c205.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4214634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Kings46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Kings47c195$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6528852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Kings45c183.73$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Clippers54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8336852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Kings44c174.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6922351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Clippers57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4917944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Kings46c169.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8911050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Kings48c166.27$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4314445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Kings45c161.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5315543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Clippers55c160.76$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.27047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Kings48c157.91$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.836749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Kings48c157.91$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.815650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Kings48c157.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5720247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers55c154.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.931,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Clippers55c150.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.613135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Clippers55c149.05$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.891,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Clippers60c147.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Kings45c140.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.16442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Clippers71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1312845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Kings47c135.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7112357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Kings47c135.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7116245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Kings46c135.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.312254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Kings44c135.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.934763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed Kings45c134.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.493756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Kings45c128.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6917350.3%87 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Kings48c126.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9218744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Clippers54c126.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.989854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Kings48c123.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.58658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Kings47c121.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3426147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.