NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68eb602fed0812c72900fe160baa7c7764fbf07905dd80e2465f710b240b24cc

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Clippersof Clippers, Kings
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,273 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers	53c	3,711$1,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,747.6	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings	47c	2,151$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.95	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings	47c	1,889$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.78	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Clippers	53c	1,101$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.47	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Kings	41c	990$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.9	205	37.1%76 W · 129 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Kings	48c	981.39$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.07	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers	51c	913.58$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.94	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Kings	48c	413.76$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.6	90	44.4%40 W · 50 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings	49c	293.94$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.98	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers	53c	232.89$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.46	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Clippers	51c	227.86$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.38	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Clippers	52c	206.61$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.16	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb00f…e0e9backed Kings	48c	201.83$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.88	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings	47c	198.39$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.92	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Kings	49c	181.4$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.88	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kings	47c	160$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	481	52%250 W · 231 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Clippers	53c	157.74$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.51	146	34.9%51 W · 95 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kings	49c	132.4$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.45	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers	59c	115.53$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.37	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Kings	46c	106.91$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.18	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings	47c	104.8$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Kings	49c	96.8$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Clippers	53c	91.68$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Clippers	53c	89.49$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.06	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Kings	47c	82.4$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.73	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings	51c	69.1$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.03	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers	52c	68.38$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings	45c	68.37$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Clippers	54c	64.83$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.82	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Clippers	50c	61.11$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.56	230	51.3%118 W · 112 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Kings	47c	53.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.06	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Clippers	53c	43.88$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.62	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers	50c	39.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.91	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers	52c	39.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Kings	47c	37.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	211	49.3%104 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Kings	51c	34.72$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Clippers	59c	33.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.94	110	59.1%65 W · 45 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Kings	50c	32.18$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Kings	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Clippers	50c	29.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Clippers	52c	28.14$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kings	43c	23.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xabb1…7ef7backed Kings	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event