TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c29,696$15,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,673.921,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.191,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c9,963$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,981.3649244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c5,638$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.951,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Under39c4,268$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.867337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,044$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66a…800ebacked Under52c3,852$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.91955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c3,620$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.662,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c2,918$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c1,654$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under50c1,137$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.429447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under45c1,100$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c985.52$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Under5c955.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.771936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under6c855.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c799.98$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.991,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over48c791.84$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.7627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.015538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c625.24$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.371,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over51c596.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.9959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over51c584.26$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3249852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29115543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under32c551.14$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0414634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c512.06$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.871,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over51c492.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5347651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Under3c429.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under50c423.31$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.655839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under49c398.65$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19716242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over48c387.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.518148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Over50c362.46$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.233455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c282.83$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.233251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under6c249.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c249.04$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.561,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under48c218.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c197.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9447738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over51c197.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c188.06$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.151,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c172.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c130.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9a…4d42backed Over51c127.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.774953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over50c125.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.754847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…3a13backed Over51c123.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.611050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over51c119.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.449646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c114.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over70c110.2$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c98.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.57047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6338453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over65c91.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Over49c89.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.669239.1%36 W · 56 L-10.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over80c86.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2741556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over62c83.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over62c83.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over62c83.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under26c73.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c70.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.441,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0101…3728backed Over74c67.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over47c67.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Over48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.493438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under50c60.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0727251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Over80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Over80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over51c59.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8322454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9118459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over51c57.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0632148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over48c55.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c51.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.711,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c49.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4836749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c49.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2513052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over48c44.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2817350.3%87 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over49c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over80c43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under50c42.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3436153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over49c39.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.824858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411447.4%54 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3972…81f6backed Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over80c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.633030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Over80c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under51c36.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8126147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under49c35.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.346336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c33.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8160945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x516d…60c6backed Over52c29.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.421844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Over48c29.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1125143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over48c29.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1117349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over50c25.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.996546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c25.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over47c25.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5214852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.