NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77ceab20ef3c409fd567080fbb68ec972f46e6120e1178da3c182a1e1df13a2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Over | 42c | 994.44$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 415.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.25 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 13c | 358.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 42c | 250.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 203.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 43c | 180.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 111.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 109.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 95.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 15c | 73.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 46c | 69.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 66.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Under | 57c | 66.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 42c | 52.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 58c | 45.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 38.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 58c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 58c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 58c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 58c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 58c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 58c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 58c | 37.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…803abacked Under | 58c | 33.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 44c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 44c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 43c | 28.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Over | 48c | 26.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 55c | 26.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…dce8backed Under | 58c | 21.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 51c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…dc3abacked Under | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5this page
- Clippers vs. KingsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Devin Carter: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.