TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,393,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,379,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,393,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Kings14c168,364$23,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,711.3236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings14c131,392$18,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,394.9148343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kings13c96,920$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.6154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Kings7c59,994$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.4915219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd59d…8e9fbacked Kings6c49,393$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.41136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings3c41,202$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.471,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings1c40,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings13c23,208$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.6920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings1c22,212$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Kings14c18,388$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.2635444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Kings0c15,761$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.065269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0e05…28b8backed Kings5c13,872$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings3c13,707$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.613,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings5c13,081$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.032,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Kings11c9,963$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.5418045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings3c9,956$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9736023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c9,700$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings15c9,694$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Kings5c8,955$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.588661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings4c7,856$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings0c7,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings14c7,000$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Kings14c6,955$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.6513642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings1c6,944$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Kings14c6,856$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.3443438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings15c5,884$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.571,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Kings14c5,642$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.4723742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings14c5,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b9…a41ebacked Kings5c4,944$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.541735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…6591backed Kings14c4,742$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.886328.6%18 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Kings4c4,659$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.615036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Kings13c4,334$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.9611453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings4c4,219$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Kings1c4,179$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.893179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Kings12c3,372$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6618043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Kings13c3,300$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41720537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings12c3,294$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.33,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Kings13c2,800$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36424045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Kings14c2,710$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3620945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Kings12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings2c2,398$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.621,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Kings4c2,221$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5214634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Kings13c2,130$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1925641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings12c2,084$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Kings13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Kings4c2,000$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Kings13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x721f…748bbacked Kings5c1,991$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.56160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Kings14c1,632$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4933837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Kings6c1,567$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6654838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c1,548$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.357211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Kings11c1,508$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.023638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb579…d7d0backed Kings14c1,461$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.481435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e3…242cbacked Kings5c1,430$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.331816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36fb…a785backed Kings14c1,358$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.062934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Kings14c1,355$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.685831%18 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings13c1,355$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.091,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Kings15c1,340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0413234.8%46 W · 86 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Kings15c1,265$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.852760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Kings5c1,255$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.292714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kings14c1,195$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8530947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Kings15c1,164$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6235546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Kings9c1,070$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7946255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Kings6c1,032$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6116842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Kings14c1,016$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.261442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Kings14c1,004$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.537236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Kings2c1,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4595…df87backed Kings12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Kings5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f32…78cebacked Kings12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-71.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings15c949$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.351,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Kings3c941.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2517145%77 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x461e…c18ebacked Kings5c924.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.156716.4%11 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Kings2c880.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+81.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14a9…4514backed Kings3c832$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Kings14c799.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Kings10c794.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4526530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Kings4c793.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1918632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Kings3c723.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.75633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Kings14c723.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.236543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Kings14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8438432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Kings14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.849044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…4375backed Kings7c674.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Kings7c674.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.212138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed Kings14c671.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.032560%15 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Kings8c661.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.966023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Kings5c661.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5216919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings14c633.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6455346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Kings4c621.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2533632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Kings13c593.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3423435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46b2…702abacked Kings4c589$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.562544%11 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Kings6c553.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0345838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Kings7c539.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.775523.6%13 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kings5c539.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3824937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Kings15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7553939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Kings5c500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.555316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc255…62f8backed Kings14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+56.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed Kings3c498.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Kings15c496.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5216450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.