TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f32…78ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$162.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$125
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$238
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.67
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$337.11
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$457.57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.42
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.32
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$47.53
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$46.57
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$12.65
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.3
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$40.39
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$11.7
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$301.92
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.86
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.88
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.03
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$139.52
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.71
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.49
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$352
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$37.09
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$174.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-71.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.57
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.87
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.38
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$19.25
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.1
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$30.8
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.96
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$48.48
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.47
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.82
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$68.4
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$362.5
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$120.76
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.65
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid+38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.51
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+925.6%+$1,805
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.07
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$409
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.64
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$208.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$340.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Ealabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.