World Politics · resolved market
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6df310dbe1e479c0ac819fb3ac416c92a9c19c5399509f3554636d3db5ac94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,728 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3d3…66ffbacked Yes | 69c | 4,223$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…825abacked Yes | 67c | 4,000$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 51c | 3,007$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.35 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 3c | 2,400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed Yes | 42c | 2,053$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,366$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 47c | 1,355$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.92 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed No | 52c | 1,016$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…d74fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,008$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 18c | 1,008$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…765fbacked No | 58c | 1,007$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…6276backed Yes | 64c | 938.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 48c | 925$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.06 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed No | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +207.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 572.4$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.01 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 552.04$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.85 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 41c | 547.05$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 454.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 53c | 325.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 72c | 318.78$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 34c | 298.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…50fbbacked Yes | 52c | 273.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…60b9backed Yes | 64c | 265.55$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 41c | 265.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 49c | 255$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…04fabacked Yes | 27c | 240$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…6741backed Yes | 53c | 230.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…ab96backed Yes | 62c | 222.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…bd20backed Yes | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 35c | 202.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…e370backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…f691backed Yes | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…88edbacked Yes | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 55c | 199.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 45c | 197.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 195.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…9719backed No | 46c | 194.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 42c | 192.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcda4…3b8dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b53…dd21backed No | 38c | 158$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…4ab1backed Yes | 55c | 157.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…e8fdbacked No | 38c | 156$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…f6eebacked Yes | 62c | 155.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 65c | 154.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…2971backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…985dbacked Yes | 40c | 148.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 49c | 147.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…4d3bbacked No | 35c | 145.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 35c | 142$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…7e6cbacked Yes | 35c | 141.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 48c | 141.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 136.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…d06fbacked No | 38c | 134.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…b5acbacked No | 51c | 127.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes | 37c | 127.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 44c | 120.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 41c | 119.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 48c | 114.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…d54ebacked Yes | 57c | 104.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 43c | 104.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 39c | 102.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 45c | 102$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…ab48backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…325dbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…8db1backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed Yes | 52c | 99.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 63c | 96.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 44c | 96.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 44c | 93.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 43c | 93.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 48c | 85.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 60c | 81.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 44c | 80.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…82e0backed Yes | 57c | 72.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…bdc7backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 26c | 67.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…94ddbacked No | 48c | 65.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…4916backed Yes | 47c | 64.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed Yes | 36c | 64.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…c41dbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…cc8fbacked Yes | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…4fa1backed Yes | 48c | 62.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 59c | 62.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…f126backed Yes | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…0b5dbacked Yes | 65c | 61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?this page
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 20%+?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?Yes won
- Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.