TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaa5…888f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT6940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,269.94
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.47
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$7.77
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$408.92
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600.82
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$83.76
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,887.8
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,112.69
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.89
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.9
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.5
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$244.76
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Unitas Labs FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+50.8%+$1,014.49
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$84.84
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.71
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$66.18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$106.88
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$1,344.99
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$96.02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$444.17
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$550.11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$332.18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of April 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of April 13 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+205.7%+$82.09
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$52.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$107.05
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$384
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$158
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+116%+$37.6
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$126.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$17.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$57.3
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$60.4
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$16.7
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$23.7
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$21.7
Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$32.51
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.1
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$351.91
Will Joshua Vasquez be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Mike Rounds be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 35% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.67
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.89
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$16.36
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$413.14
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new MAI model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$527.28
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.52
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Hallow: Prayer & Meditation be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.08
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$52.33
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-74.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+77%+$109.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.