TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$454,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c18,054$9,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,568.671540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c16,654$4,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,647.281,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over51c15,902$8,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,110.046628.8%19 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c15,274$8,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,731.111,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under42c14,167$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,194.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under49c9,991$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,095.544247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked Under49c9,955$4,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0771464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Under49c9,358$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,772.53842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over51c8,419$4,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,293.931450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c5,820$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9108223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c5,335$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.318853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6492…de49backed Under15c5,010$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+170.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over51c4,995$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.265248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c4,875$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.6115252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,718$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3595552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Under41c4,471$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Over52c4,423$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Over51c4,263$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under50c3,843$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under43c3,768$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.5421938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under49c3,631$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.27100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under48c3,347$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c6d…8371backed Under50c3,243$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over51c3,238$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.198243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under6c3,026$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.387834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.984744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over50c2,938$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.082965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over52c2,922$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.554544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under38c2,864$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.8210648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under37c2,634$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.981250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under11c2,582$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Over51c2,556$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…3399backed Over59c2,553$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under38c2,553$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.5810852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b2…8297backed Under47c2,408$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e1…1575backed Over51c2,367$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over49c2,237$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over62c2,186$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.3823637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over52c2,091$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.771421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over36c2,011$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.2424340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.991250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over51c1,988$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.6410232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under40c1,673$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.486744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under49c1,561$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.282941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under49c1,561$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.228259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over49c1,530$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.726445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.943836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over50c1,476$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Under48c1,447$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Under9c1,427$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+68%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over51c1,365$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.153844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under50c1,222$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.558933.7%30 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over50c1,220$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.85757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over50c1,201$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over40c1,159$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under46c1,154$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under43c1,149$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c1,130$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.16553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under1c1,129$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick5cpaid+1,822.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under47c1,127$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.777058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over51c1,108$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.1511135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c1,107$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.8439443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c1,100$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.116352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4529…d10abacked Under53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.072748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Over52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Under47c1,035$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over24c1,020$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.81711.8%2 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over50c1,012$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.171723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under47c1,003$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.823040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c1,002$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde03…e629backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.993141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa5…888fbacked Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under5c973.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid+206.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.391973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.394344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over50c938.67$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.333966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ac3…8463backed Under50c921.83$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Over50c913.74$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.871735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over61c912.69$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6445042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over53c911.81$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.19825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c900$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4627954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c891.91$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1741238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over50c888.3$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.152853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over40c887$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.584513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under48c871.35$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.13551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Under36c865.44$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.451637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under40c861.52$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.255658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over50c857.72$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.863464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over59c819.34$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.852441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.