TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$375,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbed3…2811backed Under70c81,012$56,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,463.826100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c31,747$11,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,206.22,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over31c9,354$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.998647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c9,329$5,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.4358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over34c7,472$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.183129%9 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under39c7,037$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over30c7,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.954055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over30c6,950$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.0227247.1%128 W · 144 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over60c6,589$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.245655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under37c6,169$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,886.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over31c6,060$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.718223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over63c4,576$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.7960%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under52c4,544$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Under34c4,450$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.911560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under70c4,202$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.54759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under69c3,890$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.281060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over33c3,195$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.531,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over65c3,095$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.693745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over66c3,044$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over32c2,916$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.82229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over30c2,769$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.0215550.3%78 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2334…69b6backed Over49c2,728$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over30c2,706$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.766446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over33c2,605$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.3423637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Under65c2,326$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.444365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over33c2,135$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.1296837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under57c2,018$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.071127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6203658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9720655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9196…3176backed Under69c1,930$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Over50c1,818$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Under26c1,664$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under49c1,648$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.47785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under70c1,631$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.898243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over30c1,613$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.222240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…b380backed Under70c1,532$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Under70c1,473$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.91353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Under70c1,424$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.17366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b70…6ccebacked Under72c1,366$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under61c1,361$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.731586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over74c1,330$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.428840.3%116 W · 172 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over11c1,315$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over30c1,309$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.612638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f31…2749backed Over29c1,257$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under60c1,224$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.997737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over29c1,198$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.252646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over30c1,195$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.396657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over31c1,181$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.19160%0 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c1,142$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.1143537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Under61c1,119$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.443748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over52c1,033$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.366157.4%35 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over44c1,021$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.214866.7%32 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over30c1,000$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30345452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Under69c999.96$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over17c970.75$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5124340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over31c931.27$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1635860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c924.19$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.216844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over28c891.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6661148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over28c890.12$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4140450.7%205 W · 199 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over44c826.27$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.56812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-79.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c815.75$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9149840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under66c792.76$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6361437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over33c755.42$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.742657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over75c742.38$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.168853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over28c723.95$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.714755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over34c707.95$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.444933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under70c701.43$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.43785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Under70c701.43$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.431163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Under69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2174628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d2…7c0dbacked Under69c613.82$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c601.68$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.018767.8%59 W · 28 L+13.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over29c599.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17411443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over71c595.5$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.87245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked Under69c592.01$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e6…1e51backed Over3c582.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.950%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Under68c576.94$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over30c537.35$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3267649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over61c536.01$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.972147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Under64c528.93$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dac…3b3cbacked Under68c513.79$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Under60c507.52$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.013850%19 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over43c503.25$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.578061.3%49 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Under70c500.96$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over31c489.43$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over30c488.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.446547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x688e…148dbacked Under60c488$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Under32c479.6$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over31c479.3$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.581118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-64.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Over34c466.08$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Under70c460.14$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.045437%20 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over31c448.38$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.315362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over31c443.68$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.784465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over56c443.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3610648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Under68c432.71$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.473863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under56c429.33$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.731566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over30c420$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.14459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over32c415.93$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.31137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over72c411.76$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.897068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.