TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe3dd…cdae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$221.51
Wuning 2: Leo Vithoontien vs Yaojie Zengbacked Leo Vithoontien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.36
Santa Cruz: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$157.2
Santa Cruz: Santiago De La Fuente vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Santiago De La Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.47
Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$136.61
Tallahassee: Stefan Kozlov vs Alex Rybakovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.96
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchetbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$78.47
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmanebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$1,096.45
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.21
Tallahassee: Colton Smith vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$38.62
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Oeiras 3: Felix Gill vs Roman Safiullinbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.17
BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$6.75
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85%+$459.48
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$310.2
Oeiras 3: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Francisca Jorgebacked Francisca Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.68
Busan: Kasidit Samrej vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$459.07
Oeiras 3: Remy Bertola vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.29
Barcelona Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanovbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$279.64
Oeiras 3: Tessa Brockmann vs Kristina Mladenovicbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.65
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$308.3
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+83%+$50.86
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.08
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.88
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$4.06
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.67
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63%+$236.56
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.74
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.05
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$356.55
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+107%+$66.57
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.35
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.05
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$298.36
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$452.89
Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.33
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$33.68
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.44
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+182.8%+$1,399.59
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.06
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$380.96
All 7 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$449.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.