TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No19c2,576$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.712,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes54c2,430$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.537441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No72c2,309$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.861,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No19c2,045$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.3343618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No56c1,788$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.452548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No55c1,654$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.344637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c1,648$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.765,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No17c1,522$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.131,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No18c1,447$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.492,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No18c1,194$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.7333745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No17c1,007$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.091,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed No48c985.58$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No53c932.85$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c826.17$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No18c792.34$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.631,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Yes45c749.25$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes27c739.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.85125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No39c730.94$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.86355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes45c641.26$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.146731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c613.66$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.722,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked No55c551.46$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.162030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No36c540.85$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5116842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c537.18$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.251,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes58c491.28$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.555062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No18c443.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.693,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No18c419.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.193321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes38c407.41$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.021,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes35c400$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No72c399.57$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…04a8backed Yes57c353.79$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.661435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No23c335.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.433,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes47c327$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.69666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No68c324.49$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes48c315.16$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0318140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes47c290.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.594452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No62c284.04$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.436043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked No21c282.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.793630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No54c275.2$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No55c274.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.528268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No25c266.55$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2510667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed No64c244.6$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.061181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes40c241.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.491741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes61c217.68$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.028155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes40c210$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.187170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes44c175.6$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.262951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No27c175.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.214042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes24c159.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1811127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c151.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.181,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed No16c146.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.741656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c140.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.161,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c47…8d6dbacked No74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes43c129.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No21c117.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0631355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Yes45c115.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.261764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No27c111.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.331,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed No20c109.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7733658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No18c105.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6318743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No21c104.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7821345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No50c101.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.012740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes47c82.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7318145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed No19c78.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.441838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes40c77.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8430231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7a…b823backed No18c70.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+86.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No17c65.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2929053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No22c61.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3713023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b2…dcc5backed No17c59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No67c58.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.484351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes40c46.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.822646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed Yes55c45.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.295168.6%35 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed No54c45.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.954454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3577151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes34c39.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.563231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked No77c38.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No45c35.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.332657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes41c32.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f6e…326cbacked No47c30.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes55c29.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0510146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb06a…1924backed No52c28.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes45c27.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.578433.3%28 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No48c25.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.035957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa9…b0ecbacked No54c18.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…85edbacked No63c17.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No75c15.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.833467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.