TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1cc7…43e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT13830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$99.45
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.95
New Zealand leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$216.22
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$109.26
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$43.18
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.76
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.3
Egypt leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.09
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.81
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$280.93
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.23
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.61
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+110%+$242.67
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.59
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT7716.9%13 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+473.4%+$836.61
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.74
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.17
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.63
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.19
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.49
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.98
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.86
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+317.5%+$414.79
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+233.5%+$284.81
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+168.3%+$641.2
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.76
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$163.17
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.2
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$287.95
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$254.46
Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.93
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.49
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$86.54
Grêmio FBPA vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$74.37
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$155.07
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.12
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.99
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+173.8%+$352.98
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$389
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$31.55
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.33
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.01
Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+330.6%+$193.37
Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$72.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$12.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.