TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$811,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$836,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c193,426$134,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,041.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over8c148,224$12,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,043.012326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over61c107,076$65,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,316.215552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Under77c96,430$74,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,829.846943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over53c69,398$36,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,692.191855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c64,255$18,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,942.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c42,217$18,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,609.21,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under65c22,434$14,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,915.5439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under75c20,782$15,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,273.72,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over35c16,000$5,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,557.8621029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under70c12,711$8,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,817.911149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under42c11,529$4,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,686.5453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over10c10,000$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.4217447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under63c7,809$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.181,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Over57c6,500$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.994734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under54c6,293$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Over9c6,274$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6390%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over29c5,602$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under60c5,435$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.5225942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c5,365$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over20c5,050$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under61c4,901$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.563542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c4,594$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under43c4,453$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.2113738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over49c4,177$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05745428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under77c4,025$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.7364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over25c4,000$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.997823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under39c3,912$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.6577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under43c3,845$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.754456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under74c3,744$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.759233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over9c3,482$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1234845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466a…76e7backed Under76c3,054$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.041442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7109242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Under73c2,884$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.377138%27 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over8c2,619$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.522,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Over59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over24c2,490$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.155543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Over9c2,398$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.810819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over8c2,370$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.631,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ba…f577backed Under41c2,355$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.471346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under68c2,346$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.162,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over58c2,326$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.114463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Over58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under64c1,990$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.4543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over25c1,970$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.492,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over6c1,875$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.543635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over57c1,753$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under71c1,730$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.681,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Over58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over21c1,694$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35635424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under39c1,605$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.2714544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over64c1,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over8c1,552$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58de…9169backed Under80c1,535$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Over56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.873650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under62c1,480$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5725049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under52c1,461$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.3533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over16c1,350$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over39c1,280$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.28237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x788c…8c15backed Over40c1,231$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.328036.3%29 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Under56c1,208$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.39839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over57c1,206$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.5727845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over51c1,188$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over9c1,158$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a2…dcaabacked Over51c1,144$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.1912152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over58c1,140$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.9914343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over2c1,111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over4c1,100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under41c1,097$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.238745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over8c1,093$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.442,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Over9c1,056$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over50c1,015$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.6110355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under41c1,003$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.758243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over31c1,001$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3114226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6a…c8c1backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701070%7 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick36cpaid+146%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1526…bad2backed Under75c988.43$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over41c959.99$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.253436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff1…e743backed Under73c955.21$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.824940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65aa…10e7backed Over48c933.33$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4481070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over9c911.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8522919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over29c900.56$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2263544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under75c842.84$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.211,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under64c802.42$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.97357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over18c796.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7510836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over14c779.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7234924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaae…232dbacked Under68c739.37$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over28c722.24$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20433544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Under70c716.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2213830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over8c703.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.253020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Over52c699.98$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.992814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd388…4c38backed Over56c690.26$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.622334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.