TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Under77c9,175$7,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.1114542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over37c8,054$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.2632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under80c7,360$5,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.2744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c5,077$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under9c4,641$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,212.268728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over58c4,252$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.0758642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over4c4,050$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16222643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under49c3,509$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.5830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under72c3,181$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.372334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under34c3,021$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.5627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over12c2,602$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over7c2,403$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.241,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over13c1,959$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over7c1,872$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over13c1,795$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.643164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over19c1,558$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c1,337$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over39c1,291$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over7c1,242$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under66c1,222$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c1,027$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.971,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under80c964.35$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over7c774.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.991,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under52c649.21$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6480225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d20…71f4backed Over14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under48c560.94$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5338819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over19c514.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.699323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Over21c502.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.466942%29 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over12c502$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2411338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under80c412.25$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over10c406.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.591,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under75c379.45$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4532356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over68c350.08$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.522,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Under6c305.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.452924.1%7 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+155.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over33c300.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under31c286.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.141,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c229$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under79c222.47$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.981,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x950a…71e4backed Over31c219.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.952642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over29c215$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7443145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under48c208.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2118543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under65c205.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9823637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b6b…d677backed Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over34c199.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7979149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over20c169.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over29c160$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.44334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over8c159.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under74c156.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.662,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0f…938fbacked Over79c147.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Under34c147.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.054647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over34c143.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4148055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over52c135.01$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8619218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over17c132.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.372,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over8c132.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5426537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under41c122.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8522932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Over34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over34c116$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a2e…37cabacked Under34c111.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.331450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over33c109.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Over35c95.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.398863.6%56 W · 32 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over34c82.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813119.1%25 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.082,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over66c73.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5325125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over32c61.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5647744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54a…f771backed Over24c54.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.375228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over31c47.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6546939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over31c47.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6510242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…8d8ebacked Over31c47.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.657245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb00…de0cbacked Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Under59c42.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over35c33.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8630547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Over33c33.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under77c32.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5319257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under79c25.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2814458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8e…b1d0backed Under60c24.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.867741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under72c23.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.637037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b18…b947backed Over65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under67c16.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3519064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under80c14.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.997055.7%39 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.