TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf80f…34a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.33
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.2%+$360.14
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+516.8%+$950.38
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.68
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.66
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$682.44
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$290.59
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.92
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+419.7%+$1,847.48
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$62.5
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.6
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+71%+$141.9
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+269.4%+$209.44
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$159.13
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.3
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56.94
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.32
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.95
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$539.22
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.87
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.15
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,272.25
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+259.9%+$728.56
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$151.19
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.93
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.13
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.98
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$27.61
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.88
Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.83
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.33
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$193.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+109%+$89.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.