Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a1d2946172ade9f77badbdbd323b00a8b88a0edd9d433734cdb77aabb9f9cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 15c | 8,432$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171.94 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 5,810$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 70c | 5,743$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 2c | 2,167$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,985$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.31 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 24c | 1,844$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.89 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 4c | 1,753$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Under | 73c | 1,506$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,118$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 11c | 888.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Over | 15c | 843.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.89 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 14c | 770.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.97 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Over | 19c | 531.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.26 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 20c | 500$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Over | 38c | 489.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 44c | 449.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…32cdbacked Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 26c | 371.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…c242backed Over | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1b9bbacked Under | 79c | 254.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 23c | 229.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 198.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Over | 66c | 166.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 26c | 142.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 17c | 138.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Over | 26c | 137.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 11c | 136.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Over | 77c | 120.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 19c | 116.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…19f7backed Over | 48c | 103.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6399…b12dbacked Over | 74c | 100.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Over | 72c | 98.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 82.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed Over | 71c | 75.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 133 | 64.7%86 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…e0d5backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…62a0backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Under | 76c | 49.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…94babacked Under | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 73c | 32.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33a6backed Under | 70c | 28.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 78c | 17.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5this page
- Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.