Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94f71a7267dba1c08f8d8ac4a87a145f0c960e2432ba25114ec4e28bac8d739f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 17c | 1,741$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 1,731$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 32c | 1,564$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.6 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 31c | 1,197$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.27 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 32c | 909.23$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 868.79$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.55 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 70c | 788.53$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 69c | 666.67$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 32c | 599.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Under | 32c | 581.09$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 3c | 538.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 10c | 513$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 425.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 6c | 343.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 335.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 71c | 333.8$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed Under | 11c | 266.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 80c | 246.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 20c | 246.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 68c | 239.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 69c | 238.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 19c | 235$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 31c | 207.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 69c | 190.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…f1abbacked Under | 18c | 160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over | 70c | 147.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 68c | 146.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 70c | 143.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 70c | 142.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…9b97backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 68c | 119$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 111.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 68c | 93.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 69c | 92.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Over | 70c | 84.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 69c | 73.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over | 69c | 72.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 70c | 57.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 78c | 52.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 22c | 52.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 30c | 49.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 70c | 46.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 68c | 42.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…bfacbacked Over | 69c | 33.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 25.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…e6c8backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 68c | 20.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 68c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 2.5this page
- Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.