Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c4531f89e78de99d5596e80e545fbed93466c344dd9e6596636680b14369f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Panama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brazil | 60c | 3,601$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.93 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…2ba8backed Brazil | 67c | 2,633$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panama | 41c | 2,491$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Brazil | 70c | 2,141$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.82 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Panama | 52c | 2,029$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panama | 33c | 1,890$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.25 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Panama | 24c | 1,838$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Panama | 29c | 1,697$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Brazil | 68c | 1,631$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.66 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Brazil | 66c | 1,206$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.06 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Panama | 34c | 1,072$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Panama | 25c | 1,031$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Brazil | 72c | 697.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Panama | 28c | 591.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Panama | 18c | 589.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Panama | 32c | 583.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Brazil | 56c | 476.42$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Panama | 26c | 442.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Brazil | 72c | 433.94$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Brazil | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Panama | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Brazil | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Brazil | 73c | 274.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Panama | 28c | 241$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Brazil | 66c | 236.36$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Panama | 30c | 180.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Brazil | 52c | 174.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Brazil | 67c | 146.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Brazil | 71c | 139.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Panama | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Brazil | 71c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Panama | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Panama | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Brazil | 47c | 112.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -8.8wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Panama | 28c | 110.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…32cdbacked Brazil | 46c | 107.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Panama | 50c | 101.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Brazil | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Panama | 29c | 98.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Brazil | 62c | 94.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Brazil | 66c | 82.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Panama | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Brazil | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed Brazil | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Panama | 29c | 73.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Brazil | 72c | 69.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Brazil | 72c | 69.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Panama | 30c | 66.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Panama | 27c | 66.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Panama | 25c | 63.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Panama | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Panama | 30c | 57.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Brazil | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455d…6011backed Brazil | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 73c | 43.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Brazil | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Panama | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Brazil | 64c | 38.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Brazil | 64c | 35.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…07aebacked Panama | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Brazil | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…8845backed Brazil | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed Brazil | 68c | 29.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Brazil | 71c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked Brazil | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…efe1backed Brazil | 71c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Brazil | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Brazil | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brazil | 64c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Brazil | 73c | 16.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…7368backed Brazil | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)this page
- Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.