TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brazilof Brazil, Panama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil49c5,860$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.632,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panama57c5,260$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.854,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Brazil37c3,207$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.62,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panama52c3,176$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.1529232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Panama51c3,152$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.6110539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Panama52c2,870$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f1…953cbacked Panama67c2,680$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panama44c1,206$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Brazil46c1,171$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.456349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Panama1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Brazil50c1,000$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.616858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Panama40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Panama51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Brazil60c999.3$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.313953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Panama51c850.72$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4358251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Brazil49c843$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.933,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Panama54c776.12$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4622450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Brazil25c682.5$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.8823036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Brazil68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19216152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Panama50c599.98$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.054843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Brazil48c583.33$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3315150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Panama52c573.13$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Brazil49c543.02$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.944654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee99…ffcabacked Brazil38c526.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Brazil39c510.26$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.266836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Panama51c496.68$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed Panama68c490$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.21258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Panama54c477$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0328162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Brazil68c407.27$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.419759.8%58 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Panama65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26076445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed Brazil60c395$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1587057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Brazil49c349.39$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1914061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Brazil62c341$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5822746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Panama50c329.91$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0437451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a2…5152backed Panama32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Brazil33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032524%6 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ef…9a9fbacked Brazil35c300$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.55848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Brazil28c287.61$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3114323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Panama51c271.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.72657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Brazil35c257.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.147135.2%25 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Brazil40c247.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0652441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Brazil49c246.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1718139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Panama52c228.87$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0141857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Panama51c219.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.813,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Brazil49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a07…9dedbacked Brazil48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Brazil48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10412544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brazil45c199.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.171,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Brazil34c194.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.693125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c43…0ff2backed Brazil50c194.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Panama53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panama23c187.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Brazil51c183.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.113461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Brazil49c180.43$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.027245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Brazil28c178.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8637323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cd…2eedbacked Brazil34c174.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.113528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Brazil59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Panama51c160.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.271,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Brazil48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2535848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Brazil43c149.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.023240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd177…1c8abacked Panama73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008347%39 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Panama52c135.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Brazil47c127.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6847049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Panama32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Panama53c123$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6593542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Brazil55c106.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8721143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Panama52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Brazil48c100.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Brazil50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5019746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Brazil48c96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8639746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e15…bdb2backed Panama53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Panama33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Brazil50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Brazil49c77.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.552560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Brazil48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.926845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Brazil48c72.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Brazil50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338035%28 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Brazil48c64.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Brazil33c59.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.716251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Brazil48c58.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9436045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Panama52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Brazil48c54.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6522052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Brazil47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brazil48c49.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Panama52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+50.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Panama51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4841344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Panama32c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Brazil49c41.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.46253.2%33 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Brazil50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3db…c173backed Brazil48c39.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Panama52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2837950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Brazil70c35.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9270948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Panama66c34.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7518764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a3…25e7backed Brazil48c34.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6882…c9a6backed Panama52c32.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Brazil49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Brazil65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59359.1%55 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Panama51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Panama47c25.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.273412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x450a…0712backed Brazil48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.