Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee1e0bb7efba54316f5c14a178d615e6fdccd58d7658262308bcee4f0ee515d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Panama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brazil | 49c | 5,860$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.63 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panama | 57c | 5,260$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Brazil | 37c | 3,207$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.6 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Panama | 52c | 3,176$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.15 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Panama | 51c | 3,152$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.61 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Panama | 52c | 2,870$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…953cbacked Panama | 67c | 2,680$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panama | 44c | 1,206$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Brazil | 46c | 1,171$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.45 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Panama | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Brazil | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.61 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Panama | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Panama | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Brazil | 60c | 999.3$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.3 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Panama | 51c | 850.72$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brazil | 49c | 843$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Panama | 54c | 776.12$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Brazil | 25c | 682.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.88 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Brazil | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Panama | 50c | 599.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.05 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Brazil | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Panama | 52c | 573.13$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Brazil | 49c | 543.02$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…ffcabacked Brazil | 38c | 526.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Brazil | 39c | 510.26$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.26 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Panama | 51c | 496.68$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Panama | 68c | 490$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Panama | 54c | 477$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.03 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Brazil | 68c | 407.27$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Panama | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Brazil | 60c | 395$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Brazil | 49c | 349.39$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Brazil | 62c | 341$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Panama | 50c | 329.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.04 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a2…5152backed Panama | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Brazil | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…9a9fbacked Brazil | 35c | 300$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Brazil | 28c | 287.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Panama | 51c | 271.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Brazil | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Brazil | 40c | 247.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Brazil | 49c | 246.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Panama | 52c | 228.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Panama | 51c | 219.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Brazil | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…9dedbacked Brazil | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Brazil | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brazil | 45c | 199.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Brazil | 34c | 194.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…0ff2backed Brazil | 50c | 194.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Panama | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Panama | 23c | 187.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Brazil | 51c | 183.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Brazil | 49c | 180.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Brazil | 28c | 178.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Brazil | 34c | 174.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Brazil | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Panama | 51c | 160.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Brazil | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Brazil | 43c | 149.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…1c8abacked Panama | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Panama | 52c | 135.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Brazil | 47c | 127.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Panama | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Panama | 53c | 123$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Brazil | 55c | 106.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Panama | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Brazil | 48c | 100.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Brazil | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Brazil | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed Panama | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Panama | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Brazil | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Brazil | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Brazil | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Brazil | 48c | 72.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Brazil | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Brazil | 48c | 64.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Brazil | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Brazil | 48c | 58.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Panama | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Brazil | 48c | 54.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Brazil | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brazil | 48c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Panama | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Panama | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Panama | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Brazil | 49c | 41.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Brazil | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Brazil | 48c | 39.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Panama | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Brazil | 70c | 35.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Panama | 66c | 34.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…25e7backed Brazil | 48c | 34.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…c9a6backed Panama | 52c | 32.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Brazil | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Brazil | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Panama | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Panama | 47c | 25.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…0712backed Brazil | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)this page
- Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.