TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6882…c9a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.32
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+304.5%+$51.67
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.22
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.61
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$20.7
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.34
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$16.7
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.66
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.58
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$14.35
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.85
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.28
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.56
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.53
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.63
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.26
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.55
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$41.89
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$9.13
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+120.3%+$13.23
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$12.42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+173.9%+$46.95
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.36
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.79
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$42.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+68.1%+$26.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.