NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70bff3912f23427bfc7828fffcbd22e630c9a73c6da7ca7afabdc066a41a4aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.95 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 4,063$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 3,165$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.04 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 52c | 2,929$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.03 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,999$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.74 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 1,953$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.03 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.19 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 1,785$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.39 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 57c | 1,322$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 57c | 1,137$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.99 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Under | 49c | 942.66$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 3c | 889.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…fadfbacked Under | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 670.06$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 42c | 588.33$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.23 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Under | 54c | 420$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 417.9$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.44 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 46c | 415$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Under | 48c | 399.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Under | 4c | 399.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 325.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 279.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 219$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Under | 55c | 170$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 166.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Under | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 150.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 53c | 148.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 45c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 57c | 114$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 43c | 105.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 57c | 101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 93.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 58c | 89.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 43c | 80.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 57c | 63.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 49c | 55.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 40c | 53.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 50.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 43c | 49.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 36c | 48.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 53c | 45.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 54c | 44.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Under | 57c | 43.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 45c | 42.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9817backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…c9a6backed Under | 44c | 34.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 78c | 31.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 27.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 57c | 23.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…29b9backed Under | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 21.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 57c | 21.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Under | 57c | 17.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.