NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2722fd940bdcb01397c75ea093ebc335cfc8656280bdbe4f4832a5471fdc7446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Canadiens | 32c | 2,676$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Sabres | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 31c | 1,555$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.89 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 32c | 1,438$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 68c | 1,240$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.44 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sabres | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Sabres | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canadiens | 38c | 495.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.86 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Sabres | 68c | 479.61$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Canadiens | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 450.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Canadiens | 25c | 422.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sabres | 60c | 386.07$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sabres | 74c | 383.98$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sabres | 68c | 377.5$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Canadiens | 68c | 353.48$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 69c | 352.2$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Canadiens | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Sabres | 69c | 312.58$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.68 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Sabres | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Canadiens | 71c | 253.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Sabres | 68c | 246$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Canadiens | 32c | 237.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Sabres | 69c | 222.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…ea71backed Canadiens | 23c | 216.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 76c | 200.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Canadiens | 30c | 190$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Sabres | 69c | 182.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sabres | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 38c | 156.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…915bbacked Canadiens | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sabres | 67c | 155.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Canadiens | 63c | 153.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Canadiens | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe750…fd31backed Canadiens | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sabres | 55c | 131.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sabres | 68c | 121.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sabres | 56c | 113.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Canadiens | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Sabres | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sabres | 67c | 106.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Canadiens | 31c | 102.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Sabres | 62c | 100.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Canadiens | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Sabres | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sabres | 68c | 89.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Canadiens | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Canadiens | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Canadiens | 51c | 77.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Sabres | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Sabres | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sabres | 47c | 50.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Sabres | 43c | 43.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Sabres | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Sabres | 34c | 41.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Sabres | 31c | 40.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sabres | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Canadiens | 52c | 31.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canadiens | 33c | 30.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Sabres | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Sabres | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Sabres | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Canadiens | 40c | 27.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Sabres | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sabres | 67c | 22.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Sabres | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Sabres | 68c | 15.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.