NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe106483ae51fb3231c84ce3b9a488a620988d77e91f2bf407c4a07e456eedfdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 5,778$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.34 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 23c | 3,775$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.79 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 72c | 1,499$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.48 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Over | 76c | 940$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Under | 78c | 420$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 39c | 362.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 280.27$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 22c | 262.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 225$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 33c | 219.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 30c | 194.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Over | 79c | 153.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 66c | 144.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…5a37backed Under | 52c | 143.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Over | 22c | 132.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 78c | 128.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 22c | 120.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 116.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 109.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 21c | 99.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 57c | 95.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 27c | 94.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 22c | 76.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 27c | 69.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 77c | 68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Under | 77c | 65.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 29c | 57.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 65c | 57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…958dbacked Over | 71c | 54.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 25c | 45.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 53c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 44c | 41.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 39.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 58c | 39.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 51c | 38.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 40c | 37.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 58c | 35.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 53c | 31.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 52c | 30.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 62c | 26.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 61c | 26.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 69c | 22.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Over | 72c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5this page
- Sabres vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.