TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over56c77,168$43,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,978.0467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under44c39,648$17,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,445.1210146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under43c14,878$6,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,397.7410545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under44c12,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,28010050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over57c11,280$6,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,850.69157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c10,160$4,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,458.9511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c9,087$5,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,941.6128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under44c7,965$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.618641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under43c6,135$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.91947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2906841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0754835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Under45c2,224$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.695147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8602638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9833652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over57c1,539$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.6427044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over63c1,500$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c1,290$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.961,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4409258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over57c940.91$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under45c937.78$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4224740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c783.49$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.072,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under36c721.39$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.78345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under38c650$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24728652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under44c454.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.025653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1334…4ce4backed Under42c453.09$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over56c439.93$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5733554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under45c437.64$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.942536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over59c383.07$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.63,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under44c364.9$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.563946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over57c321.6$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2914650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under40c311.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6413336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under35c285.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over56c285.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4747753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over65c280$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.11,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over56c277.68$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.183652.8%19 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under35c277.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c237$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6547256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under43c227.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7850251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2911154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Over57c213.68$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.173240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under44c213.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.784151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c200.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under43c199.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9912536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under44c185$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.44158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over56c178.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.941675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over57c166.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.710357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under44c151.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.711625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa796…95f9backed Over57c115.85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.858950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under44c112.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.682937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3217…7d40backed Under46c108.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under34c100.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6929533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57a…824abacked Over56c97.73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over57c97.51$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9319153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8be…301abacked Over57c97.23$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over64c94.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0214254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6553849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over55c90.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.18336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403040%12 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under33c88.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9682353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…bfbfbacked Over57c87.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Over65c85.88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.062352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.365846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under34c76.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2839344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under32c70.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6841050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under44c68.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.258844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under32c57.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over55c53.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.163770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.574551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.523754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over62c48.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over57c46.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.164158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe750…fd31backed Under40c46.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a49…7c49backed Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x108a…517abacked Over57c43.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.675961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e0b…2ddebacked Over64c42.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.341369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over59c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.226154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over57c41.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.923250%16 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under44c41.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.182944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…377bbacked Over56c41.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.072560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over60c39.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under44c37.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.562751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Under44c36.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x951b…291abacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366540%26 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4f…0ebebacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0922543.1%97 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c34.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0821253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Under44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.