TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e6a…7155

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10013%13 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+189.6%+$88.58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.62
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.61
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.8
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+382.2%+$1,356.8
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+211.7%+$243.43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+316%+$297.03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+244.4%+$146.61
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.61
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$359.83
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$67.46
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.33
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.99
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.33
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$92.17
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.35
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.66
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$37.32
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$59.9
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$59.97
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$111.04
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.38
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.79
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.71
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.08
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.56
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$82.39
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$30.18
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$74.83
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.23
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$158.36
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.17
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.25
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.1
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.38
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.8
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.86
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$75.18
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.41
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.62
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-71.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$20.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.4
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$112.17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$74.87
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.74
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.53
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$31.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.