NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a933fde445463190ac9d36a7b90c65f30ee5c3ce2eeac329f07bbafb221003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,259,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,246,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,259,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 606 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Stars | 2c | 569,430$10,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,301.82 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Wild | 46c | 206,655$96,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,593.84 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 54c | 178,545$96,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,238.57 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Stars | 53c | 99,580$52,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,777.41 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 3c | 46,602$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.52 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Stars | 42c | 33,734$14,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,243.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wild | 45c | 29,487$13,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,217.61 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Wild | 47c | 21,619$10,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,457.93 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wild | 69c | 17,016$11,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.21 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Wild | 75c | 12,264$9,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.73 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wild | 45c | 11,403$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.65 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Stars | 29c | 10,700$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.12 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Stars | 55c | 10,235$5,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,627.66 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wild | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Wild | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.96 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Wild | 45c | 7,380$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wild | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wild | 45c | 5,824$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.34 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 45c | 5,674$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.5 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 74c | 5,524$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.68 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 45c | 5,335$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Stars | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Stars | 1c | 4,700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Stars | 55c | 4,514$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.45 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Stars | 1c | 4,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Wild | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.76 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…626dbacked Wild | 45c | 3,877$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24b…40d1backed Stars | 55c | 3,858$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf552…a811backed Wild | 45c | 3,848$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…c127backed Stars | 55c | 3,761$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Wild | 61c | 3,685$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.31 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Stars | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Wild | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.9 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Stars | 8c | 2,927$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wild | 69c | 2,922$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.09 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 57c | 2,738$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Stars | 18c | 2,704$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Stars | 16c | 2,671$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.69 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…9805backed Wild | 45c | 2,599$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…61aabacked Stars | 55c | 2,555$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Stars | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Stars | 54c | 2,486$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.82 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…390fbacked Wild | 45c | 2,468$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Wild | 65c | 2,399$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…1858backed Wild | 45c | 2,372$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…fdafbacked Stars | 55c | 2,347$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…eeb1backed Stars | 55c | 2,344$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 76c | 2,288$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.51 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…be88backed Stars | 55c | 2,272$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e8…ba12backed Wild | 45c | 2,268$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4260backed Stars | 55c | 2,242$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…314dbacked Wild | 45c | 2,224$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.89 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…74d9backed Wild | 45c | 2,211$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…9318backed Stars | 55c | 2,188$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Wild | 63c | 2,037$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.91 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Stars | 53c | 1,957$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.03 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 66c | 1,902$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.59 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Stars | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Wild | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 56c | 1,640$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…7717backed Wild | 46c | 1,524$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Wild | 46c | 1,517$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.04 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Stars | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Wild | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Wild | 62c | 1,387$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.5 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Wild | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Stars | 1c | 1,280$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Stars | 53c | 1,253$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3114…3ae6backed Wild | 46c | 1,225$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Stars | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Stars | 5c | 1,123$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 46c | 1,110$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Stars | 54c | 1,088$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Stars | 55c | 1,061$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.8 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Wild | 45c | 1,054$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.67 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 70c | 1,041$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.26 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Stars | 29c | 1,001$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.35 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Stars | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Stars | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Wild | 47c | 999.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Stars | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Wild | 45c | 995.51$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.84 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 45c | 962.82$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.65 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wild | 69c | 947.19$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.51 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Stars | 48c | 854.34$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 16c | 852$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 38c | 815.79$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Stars | 41c | 811.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…9666backed Stars | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…bb1fbacked Stars | 55c | 739.73$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Stars | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Stars | 30c | 717.2$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Stars | 15c | 678.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Wild | 64c | 676.49$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…ef24backed Wild | 46c | 673$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Starsthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.