NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf38a4f09d2be77f19b78d9ed1f5f6b5c1c9f13021a726ae75f328f007621a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 5,872$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.22 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 59c | 5,300$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 4,215$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.06 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Over | 45c | 3,500$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 30c | 2,871$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.75 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 2,106$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.72 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 1c | 1,362$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 65c | 1,247$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 1,164$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.41 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 996.77$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.68 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Over | 25c | 870$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 70c | 841.12$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 803.74$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 614.19$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.81 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 592.66$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.54 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 500$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 386.55$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 59c | 380$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 274$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 73c | 236.32$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 67c | 221.3$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 28c | 134.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 42c | 131$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 48c | 123.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 71c | 122.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 37c | 120.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 39c | 97.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 30c | 87.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 58c | 84.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 60c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 37c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 61c | 79.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 72.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 64c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 35c | 67.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 31c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 69c | 37.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…64dabacked Under | 53c | 31.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 68c | 28.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Under | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 79c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…4172backed Under | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. StarsWild won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.