TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c7d…64da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotarevabacked Rada Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Huzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$6.04
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Fajing Sunbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$14.15
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$15.29
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.42
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguetbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$13.39
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$14.33
Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.44
Cagliari: Cristian Garin vs Nuno Borgesbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.66
Jiujiang: Giles Hussey vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$4.72
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercogbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$11.57
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$10.4
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Calvin Hemerybacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Jiujiang: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Coleman Wongbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Jiujiang: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizubacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.93
Jiujiang: Fajing Sun vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$13.47
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Samuele Pieribacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Mauthausen: Hugo Gaston vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$21.28
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alexandr Bindabacked Alexandr Binda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.18
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$21.69
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$13.87
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.73
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$15.21
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$13.01
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$4.57
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-79.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+119.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$13.27
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$90.07
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.64
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$48.09
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$13.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.