South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62a3128cf3bbe1c6b9cf27823e659720ad2181bca5c9ef73b1049b2f79d7ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,939$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 1,817$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 66c | 1,733$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.46 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 1,673$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 76c | 988$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.88 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 11c | 862.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 30c | 668.43$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 38c | 525.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 470.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 70c | 425.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 67c | 261$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 10c | 147.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed No | 67c | 142.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 33c | 142.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…909cbacked Yes | 70c | 141.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 118.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 93.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 52c | 90.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 84.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 69c | 78.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 60.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed Yes | 68c | 58.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 37c | 55.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 51.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…d488backed No | 68c | 51.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 24c | 47.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 68c | 47.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 24c | 45.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 43.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…64dabacked Yes | 39c | 39.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 31c | 37.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 55c | 35.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 33c | 34.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed Yes | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 74c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.