South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac0928f4c12e2bf64995b0f193f14bb2a4b186386c29be5b060a2c607098262c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 26c | 4,191$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,721$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.75 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 28c | 668.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed No | 75c | 661.33$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 533.25$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 72c | 430$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 390.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 31c | 342.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 304.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 262.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…c479backed No | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 21c | 215.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 202.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 24c | 142.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 136.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed No | 76c | 130.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 70c | 122.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…004abacked Yes | 16c | 122.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 109.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 73c | 105.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…256cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 88.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 87.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 76c | 86.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 86.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 16c | 76.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…7f70backed Yes | 28c | 74.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 68.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Yes | 29c | 61.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 60.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…8548backed Yes | 29c | 56.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 18c | 54.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 77c | 50.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…e43abacked Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 74c | 42.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 75c | 40.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 39.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…9977backed Yes | 29c | 39.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 28c | 37.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 29.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 72c | 27.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 26.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 72c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07f9backed No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.