TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x923a…e723

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12532.8%41 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$17.07
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$14.04
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$21.45
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$31.61
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$51.22
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$72.56
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-68.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+184.8%+$55.45
EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)backed Independiente Medellín · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Tigre vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Tigre vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick45cpaid+81.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$25.29
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.