Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c575d0903ab676658e59d03cb00afa761aa951f5bdef2789f50dbf1a8d5f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 8,935$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.25 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,320$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 31c | 3,195$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.27 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 38c | 3,009$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.92 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 1,722$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.98 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 1,509$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.34 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 61c | 1,322$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 42c | 1,125$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 50c | 1,051$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.56 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…fe2dbacked Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 974.4$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.45 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 47c | 959.99$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 925.29$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 60c | 837.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 39c | 739.45$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.85 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 700$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 653.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 18c | 616.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 609.32$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 37c | 594.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 40c | 584$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 579.28$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.47 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 506.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.69 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 61c | 457.96$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 40c | 418$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 410.12$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 44c | 404.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Over | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…89cfbacked Over | 15c | 385.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 379.87$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 41c | 366.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 61c | 311.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 59c | 310$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 49c | 298.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 282.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…3348backed Over | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 268.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 41c | 243.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 218.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 40c | 181.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Over | 29c | 173.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 59c | 166.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 39c | 164.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 156.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 53c | 149.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Under | 74c | 135.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over | 44c | 104.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 34c | 102.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…387fbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 33c | 89.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 59c | 84.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 58c | 82.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Over | 41c | 73.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 19c | 55.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -86%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 29c | 50.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 58c | 44.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…c3acbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 41c | 39.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 48c | 37.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Under | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 56c | 35.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Over | 39c | 34.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Over | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…8521backed Under | 57c | 32.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…ab20backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d0dfbacked Over | 61c | 32.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.