TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27ff…d0df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9951.5%51 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$41.07
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$22.73
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$44.27
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$48.38
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$17.48
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+103%+$20.61
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Lorient · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.