TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$874,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$991,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe558…dcd2backed No80c171,484$137,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,108.7815843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8042…3680backed Yes21c100,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,000560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes20c90,005$18,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,0043844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No80c82,393$65,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,671.374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No78c79,278$62,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,090.1536250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c28,542$18,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,779.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes20c25,302$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,302.332429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes20c25,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Yes20c25,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f0e…2ee5backed No75c21,978$16,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,503.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3717…64ddbacked No0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No79c19,000$15,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,005.4215950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…4acdbacked Yes23c18,702$4,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,491.931145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick18cpaid+132.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc44f…5e54backed Yes54c18,429$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,429.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes25c16,149$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,148.567122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes17c15,226$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,620.313857.9%22 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+54.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No77c14,701$11,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,252.0370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes21c11,905$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,404.769929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes19c10,641$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,619.591850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No44c10,572$4,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,668.082,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes19c10,526$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,526.327729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9f…17bcbacked Yes49c9,926$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,026.421816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes18c9,775$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,058.668627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No76c8,626$6,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,555.6314860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No50c7,992$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.6718848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed No76c6,932$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,268.3213738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes26c6,139$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.7375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Yes54c5,503$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.452560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No65c5,351$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,462.292,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d25…47a2backed Yes19c5,295$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,288.742040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…ed26backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes14c5,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3004759.6%28 W · 19 L+10.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c4,950$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c4,900$3,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,882.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Yes21c4,738$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,743.19045.6%41 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes24c4,167$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.674148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes17c3,647$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.0825418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes19c3,500$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83526618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes17c3,332$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.658648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No79c3,000$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.043,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes19c3,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,43022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No78c3,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.9586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Yes41c2,918$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.118530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes53c2,846$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.222245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd097…93d0backed Yes47c2,675$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4259450%47 W · 47 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes53c2,667$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.3613268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Yes19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.582425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0009349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes14c2,500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No77c2,500$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.9731171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No65c2,492$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.421,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd75…0149backed Yes21c2,143$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.86520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Yes20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6002755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes28c1,800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2962119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeafc…53ddbacked Yes49c1,673$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.641741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes19c1,656$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.851,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Yes20c1,594$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.089733%32 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9957…0666backed Yes15c1,477$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.177621.1%16 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes56c1,399$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.7913043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No63c1,393$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.922,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Yes25c1,387$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.358431%26 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb06…f7d9backed No75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e6…8303backed Yes15c1,314$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.892934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a0…5708backed Yes16c1,301$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.752437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…44b2backed Yes19c1,300$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.911513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes37c1,257$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.0718843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes19c1,200$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97227811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Yes25c1,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No80c1,170$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.2197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes24c1,161$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.7122337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes19c1,151$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.130220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7a…b75cbacked Yes19c1,121$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes21c1,086$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.7112514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6313148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6311820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6313933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8842…4f97backed Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.632128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes24c1,042$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.675429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No50c1,006$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9311440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8008942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76014242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Yes23c991.72$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.277832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Yes21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.3819436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a1…cd9ebacked Yes20c935.53$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+146.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No76c930$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.813261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed Yes27c925.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.927138%27 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd028…e86abacked Yes23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.579429.8%28 W · 66 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes50c802$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40214523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7254…5594backed Yes19c794.74$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.7411443%49 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes22c784$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.5216341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Yes25c783.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.733542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes19c727.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.2621133.2%70 W · 141 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No79c721.09$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.793,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes20c710.61$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.496538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c686.53$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.763,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes51c654.08$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0822652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Yes19c640$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.42321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No73c635.73$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5551429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc09b…1478backed Yes15c626.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.671233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+85.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.