TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8042…3680backed Yes5c111,066$5,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,946.79560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes5c40,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes41c30,000$12,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,3155352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No64c18,384$11,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,669.6936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes5c13,245$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.266913%9 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-58.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked No58c12,703$7,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,339.449440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes2c12,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes5c10,500$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes5c10,181$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8536123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes7c10,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8842…4f97backed Yes5c6,220$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe02c…4acdbacked Yes7c4,934$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick18cpaid+132.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc74d…bb53backed Yes5c4,683$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes9c4,517$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.2875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…17bcbacked Yes13c4,100$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.11816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Yes15c4,073$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes10c3,653$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.4820245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes6c3,207$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.986317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes5c3,146$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2910527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No80c3,093$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.114652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdf…86f1backed Yes7c2,803$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes4c2,326$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes17c2,186$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.418843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes5c2,128$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Yes5c2,057$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.588942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes35c1,611$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.192,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Yes5c1,609$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes6c1,500$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9325418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x316b…03c5backed Yes5c1,481$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.043231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c1,265$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes5c1,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0122342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes4c1,151$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes13c1,122$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes5c1,050$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.456538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3607…2f38backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509451.1%48 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Yes7c999.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.431560%9 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+121.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes15c944.49$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0238329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes4c901.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.871,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes7c850$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3518926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e8…7ba4backed Yes7c815.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5460%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes10c752.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.115520%11 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes7c750$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.246319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes51c729$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.3416341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No76c719.23$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4efb…76a0backed Yes8c700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.49616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Yes4c693.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes4c663.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2835714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes12c658$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8614134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Yes6c645.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes5c600$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.446743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20b…6b05backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302425%6 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes5c590$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6853436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e6…8303backed Yes16c576.78$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.152934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60c9…9e8abacked Yes5c553.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.893135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x279b…e05bbacked Yes32c534.91$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+198.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes5c524.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd028…e86abacked Yes6c507.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329429.8%28 W · 66 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes7c500$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed No57c499.98$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.527042.9%30 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54af…a9efbacked Yes7c499.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes6c497.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes20c487.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.99806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes6c468.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes19c468.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.57785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b56…682bbacked Yes4c454.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes3c450$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a19…836bbacked Yes4c444.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011323%26 W · 87 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Yes7c443.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.019830.6%30 W · 68 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a7…8ef1backed No53c442.01$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.751428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Yes45c441.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e1…85fbbacked Yes45c440.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004438.6%17 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46f9…9f14backed Yes10c430.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.024032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Yes47c426.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c406$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.382,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes5c400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb53e…8617backed Yes43c380.14$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.973135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes5c380$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6223227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes5c359.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.767610.5%8 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes4c352.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.141233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x035f…8de2backed Yes7c347.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked Yes5c340$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes33c337.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.882,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x195c…fbc3backed Yes46c331.1$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.982626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes20c321.78$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.24916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e4…16cebacked Yes4c316.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cc…7398backed Yes5c312.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153026.7%8 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+275.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff2…6718backed Yes9c282.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes5c280$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ee…c5c9backed Yes6c277.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Yes8c262.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219834.7%34 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd097…93d0backed Yes15c261.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409450%47 W · 47 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1f5…78a8backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7254…5594backed Yes5c247.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3711443%49 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Yes16c246$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Yes5c240.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56132.8%20 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Yes13c235.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4211329.2%33 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes5c233.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7213843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.