Fifa International · resolved market
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe886a301c79165279c274b45aa1d4727c8ce6d9235ffe86bcfe6bed8cd034aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed5f…4069backed No | 1c | 10,629$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 1,976$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.23 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 73c | 954.95$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.71 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 10c | 829.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.69 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked No | 25c | 627.61$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…3d65backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 12c | 423.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 76c | 399.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…942dbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 258.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.58 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…9389backed Yes | 19c | 241.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032d…7168backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…0c5fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…7beebacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed Yes | 16c | 171.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 10c | 162$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…00d7backed Yes | 10c | 136.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…d5a3backed Yes | 18c | 111.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…778ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a7…5bc5backed Yes | 20c | 91.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…bd0abacked Yes | 17c | 88.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +196.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…d6c7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…ff33backed Yes | 20c | 69.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…3167backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes | 20c | 51.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…75bdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 3+ shotsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ shotsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shotsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ shotsYes won
- Brice Samba: 2+ savesNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsYes won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ shotsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ assistsYes won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assistsYes won
- Lucas Digne: 2+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.