TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,693 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes3c20,066$557 inLost-$557.262,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes9c2,220$200 inLost-$199.823,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes6c1,600$89 inLost-$8914440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes9c1,363$123 inLost-$122.713,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fdf…86f1backed Yes4c1,077$42 inLost-$42.012114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddf…0c69backed Yes10c1,032$100 inLost-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes8c853.5$68 inLost-$68.281,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941d…0839backed Yes9c599.99$54 inLost-$542416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c345.7$34 inLost-$34.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes7c300$22 inLost-$2229813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…6b05backed Yes10c300$30 inLost-$302425%6 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes9c280$24 inLost-$23.82,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes10c250$25 inLost-$2543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…c5c9backed Yes8c250$20 inLost-$203636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes10c161.7$16 inLost-$16.1775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes10c153.6$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes10c130$13 inLost-$1315140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3a…ae94backed Yes10c120$12 inLost-$12825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…f704backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$104131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x279e…8f57backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$107936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost-$107610.5%8 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f2…6f6cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost-$108636%31 W · 55 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.