TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Declan Rice: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,891 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes38c1,333$512 inWon+$821.5313268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes6c801$48 inWon+$752.942,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Yes7c771.3$52 inWon+$719.742020%4 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No2c588.24$10 inLost-$103013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No14c431.13$61 inLost-$60.764,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No39c417.66$164 inLost-$164.52,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No45c374$167 inLost-$167.382,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No22c328.79$73 inLost-$73.451,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f79…5487backed Yes8c241.25$20 inWon+$221.258821.6%19 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c237.36$16 inWon+$221.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No19c229.76$43 inLost-$43.4385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No35c108.3$38 inLost-$38.251,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes77c103$79 inWon+$24.157358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes74c96$71 inWon+$24.921,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No12c86.84$11 inLost-$10.7772247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No23c83$19 inLost-$19.0982537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No57c18$10 inLost-$10.342,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.