TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,956 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e3…03ccbacked Yes34c943.08$322 inLost-$322.286237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed Yes38c789.47$300 inLost-$299.716261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No62c781.45$485 inWon+$296.631,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No63c475.01$301 inWon+$174.012,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No65c444$289 inWon+$155.488838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No65c278$182 inWon+$96.054746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes47c159.89$75 inLost-$74.973633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes33c147.93$49 inLost-$49.422,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No58c73.76$42 inWon+$31.32,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes41c57.4$23 inLost-$23.4223429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No65c49.8$32 inWon+$17.47067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed No70c40$28 inWon+$1214557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes34c31.23$11 inLost-$10.641,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…5922backed Yes36c29.99$11 inLost-$10.81450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No66c22$14 inWon+$7.553,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.