TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ef5…e92f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.88
France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$140.33
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.68
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$117.12
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+201.8%+$100.74
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.08
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$80.23
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$62.1
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+178.4%+$88.12
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$73.13
Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+128.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.01
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+302.4%+$151.2
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$133.38
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$182.04
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+261.6%+$52.01
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-75.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+91.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+199.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.82
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+191.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$48.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.