Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f0ed5d4d50ed21540ce4ef692d77b0a6179bb4a679870269ead703df6dcba19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 61c | 1,243$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.54 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…4735backed Yes | 59c | 1,157$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84e…f1dbbacked No | 41c | 769.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…9712backed Yes | 57c | 760.08$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…db66backed Yes | 58c | 749.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…19d2backed No | 41c | 739.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 646.41$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.3 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 602.71$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.89 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 550.29$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 41c | 436.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 42c | 391.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 369.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 20c | 299.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.8 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 60c | 252.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 59c | 163.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 53c | 141.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 40c | 123.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked No | 44c | 120.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 47c | 101.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 41c | 92.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 36c | 92.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Yes | 60c | 87.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes | 34c | 73.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 62c | 70.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked No | 42c | 68.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 41c | 66.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 61.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 34c | 53.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 59c | 48.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 45c | 44.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed No | 44c | 30.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 55c | 27.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…f115backed Yes | 59c | 23.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 78c | 21.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.