TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0ff…9953backed Under50c10,986$5,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,486.961154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c6,398$3,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,136.061,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over47c5,107$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.762240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over52c4,200$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under44c2,670$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.1133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c2,265$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.851,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over50c988.34$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.174544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4778…b5dbbacked Over49c791.44$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…3050backed Over69c784.09$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under2c766.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.742050%10 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over70c715$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c710$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3551850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c648.12$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9345233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c609.68$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.762454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over44c440.97$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under16c432.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9172…af2fbacked Under21c408.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over51c358$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.422548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over30c329.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over48c312.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over48c299.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.664017.5%7 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c219.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2424051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under27c218.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.39046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Over35c202.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.95944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over51c190.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.391850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62b8…a9aebacked Under53c181.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over77c176.53$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.651963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6114…69dbbacked Over63c158.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under58c151.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.732556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6512039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc95…0b9cbacked Under30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c147.48$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2922340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c147.3$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over79c144.45$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.337755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.09875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa78d…130bbacked Over69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over36c133.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Over35c124.61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.59825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over61c124.03$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.372254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Over51c122.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa484…67c1backed Over50c120.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under36c112.87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.544348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over64c102.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9918847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c96.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.949262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over46c84.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.441625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over31c77.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.348254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c75.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.712556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c64.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.272171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf92e…d539backed Under63c51.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under20c51.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.274420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa9f…ee70backed Over80c51.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…5e17backed Over59c49.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over39c49.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c48.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0322854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.311233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under71c46.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0610364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over57c46.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under60c43.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under46c43.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over54c42.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+148.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf751…e6dbbacked Over51c41.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over60c41.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under52c40.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.011546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ec…6a29backed Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Over38c38.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.031850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under53c38.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.651947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over52c37.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.935860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over51c36.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.721050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over57c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.659050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over62c34.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.923060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over54c33.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5616224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.512548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.013969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8720…ea73backed Over60c29.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedaf…5e45backed Over55c26.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252040%8 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-40.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over79c20.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.327149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8267…e3e1backed Over51c20.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.63644.4%16 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over59c19.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.086065%39 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over80c18.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.711050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b9…3afcbacked Over74c15.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.