Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483c3842102df64804e08b429b3ffd08527afaef27fb29eca0f12a428a58517d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 3,737$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.59 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 41c | 2,538$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 17c | 2,500$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 1,934$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.7 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under | 79c | 1,875$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 1,723$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.29 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 1,633$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.42 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 5c | 1,414$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 61c | 1,412$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.5 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 59c | 1,324$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 5c | 1,226$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 58c | 1,072$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 5c | 1,056$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 39c | 926.98$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 22c | 873.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.62 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 59c | 848.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 5c | 823.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 35c | 699.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 49c | 563.64$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 17c | 555.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 555.32$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 509.61$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 61c | 499.97$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.98 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 491.65$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Under | 57c | 452.64$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 28c | 444$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 427.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 61c | 406$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Over | 5c | 390$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 41c | 385.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 50c | 372.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 78c | 345.38$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 23c | 325.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 39c | 312.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 16c | 304.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 279.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 9c | 255.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 226.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 45c | 212.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 43c | 202.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 78c | 194.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 193.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 62c | 193.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 188.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 186.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 28c | 176.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 53c | 175.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 172.35$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 37c | 119.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Over | 59c | 110.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 59c | 104.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 40c | 103$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 40c | 103$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 100.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 23c | 99.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 19c | 95.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 59c | 95.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 83.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over | 19c | 74.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 43c | 74.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 25c | 59.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 26c | 59.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 59c | 58.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 79c | 57.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 38c | 51.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 62c | 48.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 58c | 47.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 44c | 42.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…e6dbbacked Over | 53c | 41.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 62c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 36c | 40.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 59c | 39.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…ed3cbacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 70c | 35.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 44c | 28.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 42c | 27.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Over | 57c | 27.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…4779backed Over | 61c | 26.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 62c | 24.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 66c | 21.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.