TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc112…3841

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT5440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+86%+$200.18
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$258
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.93
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$463
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.48
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.52
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.11
Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$99.37
Panama vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Panama vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Panama vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+434%+$81.27
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$274.86
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.13
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.52
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$113.33
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$139.19
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$302
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$275.84
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$15.4
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$63.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.63
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$131.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.46
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$396
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+120.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+83%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$308
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.87
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.7
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
1. FC Nürnberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+456%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+456%+$819.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+193.1%+$96.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$546
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$17.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viborg FF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.