Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b8bd8e0e446d496dbae4ae4ac80b7349c71e6fd8909c62c761f666e3926fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 16,649$7,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,178.98 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 16,547$9,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,158.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…43afbacked Over | 54c | 11,324$6,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,114.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 33c | 8,181$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 56c | 7,205$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 5,077$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.18 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 51c | 4,852$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Over | 46c | 4,257$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 3,255$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.13 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 52c | 3,010$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 2,739$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.53 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 36c | 2,574$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 68c | 2,543$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.86 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 69c | 2,176$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 35c | 1,838$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.46 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 41c | 1,678$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.2 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 1,372$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.59 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 1,243$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.1 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 51c | 1,100$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Over | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Over | 46c | 949.89$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 34c | 862.41$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.07 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 850$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 749.15$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.42 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 724.3$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.75 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 62c | 686.97$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 64c | 617.62$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 34c | 576.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.32 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over | 70c | 559.68$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 543.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 542.01$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 5c | 518.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 69c | 500.66$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 32c | 461.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 66c | 439$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 51c | 432.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 43c | 424.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 62c | 410$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 65c | 408.86$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 396.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 36c | 298.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 56c | 293.93$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 34c | 282.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 30c | 280.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 279.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed Under | 45c | 270.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 68c | 213.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 61c | 206.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 41c | 199.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 34c | 192.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 68c | 191.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 188.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 174.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 68c | 161.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Over | 61c | 161.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 157.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Under | 37c | 157.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 155.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 9c | 155.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 31c | 155.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 147.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 136.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 32c | 134.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 62c | 132.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 69c | 132.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 32c | 129.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 52c | 119$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 69c | 95.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 61c | 91.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Over | 53c | 86.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 45c | 85.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 84.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 47c | 83.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 14c | 82.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 54c | 81.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 48c | 81.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 36c | 79.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 66c | 78.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.