Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1da14044b16422c5949353da75326bd9edd95a31fd0c3e323a95c6fc5df9627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SV Werder Bremenof VfB Stuttgart, SV Werder Bremen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked VfB Stuttgart | 42c | 11,576$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.05 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SV Werder Bremen | 63c | 7,357$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.59 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked VfB Stuttgart | 19c | 5,270$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.87 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed SV Werder Bremen | 61c | 4,002$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 2,508$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 2,083$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.2 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SV Werder Bremen | 59c | 1,904$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 1,449$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed VfB Stuttgart | 26c | 1,181$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.23 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VfB Stuttgart | 20c | 1,119$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed SV Werder Bremen | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 829$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 825.34$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked SV Werder Bremen | 59c | 793.48$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed VfB Stuttgart | 16c | 691.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed SV Werder Bremen | 61c | 677.52$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.42 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…79b6backed VfB Stuttgart | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed VfB Stuttgart | 15c | 375.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 362.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed VfB Stuttgart | 42c | 277.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 247.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed VfB Stuttgart | 42c | 234.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 226.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed VfB Stuttgart | 10c | 223.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SV Werder Bremen | 62c | 210.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 209.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 20c | 203.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed VfB Stuttgart | 18c | 202.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed SV Werder Bremen | 58c | 194.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 188.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 188.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked SV Werder Bremen | 59c | 179.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked SV Werder Bremen | 61c | 175.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 174.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 163.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed VfB Stuttgart | 39c | 160.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 155.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 155.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 117.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VfB Stuttgart | 23c | 96.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed VfB Stuttgart | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked SV Werder Bremen | 59c | 83.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VfB Stuttgart | 32c | 83.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 82.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 78.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb387…4a00backed VfB Stuttgart | 42c | 67.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed SV Werder Bremen | 63c | 65.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…1243backed SV Werder Bremen | 61c | 64.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed SV Werder Bremen | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SV Werder Bremen | 59c | 61.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…5c11backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 57.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VfB Stuttgart | 24c | 53.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SV Werder Bremen | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 45.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 32c | 41.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 41.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed SV Werder Bremen | 64c | 37.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 37.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 38c | 34.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 30.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 27.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked VfB Stuttgart | 42c | 25.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked SV Werder Bremen | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 18.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 17.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…7536backed SV Werder Bremen | 60c | 17.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed SV Werder Bremen | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)this page
- Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.