TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5acf…b718

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+52.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Club Puebla vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$21.12
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)backed CD Guadalajara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+286.8%+$45.88
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$15.1
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Cruzeiro EC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.47
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)backed SC Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Tromsø IL vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.