Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5550dfd8ebb4ed6939dd6435166ad7914a2197dc36f8136ba92a4552880f5e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,303 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 30,492$15,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,267.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 10,851$5,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,152.94 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 8,192$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.2 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 6,744$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.29 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 50c | 4,635$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.46 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.85 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 41c | 3,299$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.54 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 54c | 2,323$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 1,716$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.05 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 51c | 1,104$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.89 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 836.31$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.31 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 813.42$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.57 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Under | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Over | 48c | 770$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 41c | 760.88$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Over | 51c | 756.31$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 67c | 635.1$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 50c | 574$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Under | 49c | 561.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 51c | 550.97$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 42c | 479$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 46c | 431.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Under | 49c | 358.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed Under | 50c | 351.88$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…b55fbacked Over | 37c | 346.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 325.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 78c | 317$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…3f04backed Under | 63c | 316.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 52c | 288.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Over | 56c | 270.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 57c | 264.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 48c | 219.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 181.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Under | 64c | 155.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Under | 65c | 154.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Under | 57c | 149.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 46c | 123.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Over | 51c | 123.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 58c | 122.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Over | 51c | 121.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Under | 59c | 118.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed Over | 51c | 113.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 50c | 113.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Under | 62c | 108$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 102.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 47c | 98.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Under | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 35c | 80.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 62c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Over | 50c | 76.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 69.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 69.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 57c | 68.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 38c | 65.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 49c | 54.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 41c | 53.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 64c | 43.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Under | 60c | 41.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 48c | 28.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 42c | 28.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 64c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Over | 50c | 25.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 24.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 50c | 23.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…ae82backed Over | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…9462backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 66c | 19.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Under | 72c | 19.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.